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= ,Sunday.In June 3rdtheseeafter 18967,marketspeculation,stock pricestendinsmall,the stock marketin June 12th19161.97,the turnoverwasrelatively low in June 3rd,technical performance andbeganweakening.ThereboundinNovember last yearthatstrong,myold Caoacknowledged,the dollarfrom Junebegins to stop drop pick up,pricesfall,worryingresource pricerisenear the end.In May Chinaraw materialquantityis less than in April(compared with the same period last yearis stillrising).
It seemsChina to buy raw materialshad gone off the boil,youshould bein the hands ofresourcesharesfor only bit eclipse ,this timethe stock marketperformance wasestimatedin,youcan usethe stopmore thanmakestrategy,and gradually thestopbithigher,at presentonly bit eclipseset at 17250points(i.
e.a19161low10%)canfly kites(i.e.,withprofitsto run).Stock market performanceproved once again thatnoprophetandany momentshould bedisciplined,allaccording to the formulationstrategies.
Obamasave the economyfailed to actin January this year,when Obama came to power,the United Stateseconomy is facinga number ofseriouscrashes,heapproved theeconomic rescueplan,the amount of morethan$1.
The$1stimulus plan,U.S. stockshaveuntil March 6th togo up again;butunemployment is stillrisingfrom 7.1% in Januaryto9.4%,the previous week,estimatedto201010.3%.The$1,$300000000000was used tocreate employment,seem tofunction;as foreachnew offer$5000taxsubsidyis noteffective(seeGeneral Motors stillgoing bankrupt);10% increase inhousingcredit guarantee,efficacyis limited.
In addition toa rising stock market,the United States of Americareal economyhas not improved,such as theMayretail sales figuresonly0.5% litre.Go up century thirty timethe fedthe sameinterest,butthe money supplyis stilldown;in 2007Septemberthe Fedrate cuts haverepeatedlyfound to be invalid.
Last October,is the firstEnglish,then China,finallymost of the countryfinancialsystemtoinject cash directly,only to the assetsappreciation,such as theoil priceincrease from $32to $73,the pricerose 80%and the Hang SengIndex rose 73%,thissituation can bemaintained how long?In showlevelorif yougive methe oldCaoknow,whatinvestmentcanhold sixmonths stillmake you feel at ease?This yearor the year,net profitofenterprisewill be how to?ICaounintentionallobbyyoubearish,butwant toknow what they are doing?P/E,nowa level to already enteredhigharea boutique paul smith,is worththe adventureorto leave a littleto bemade?The first quarter of this yearAmericanwealth by$1.
3(the fourth quarter of last year toreduce 4.9trillion),is the seven consecutivequarter fell.An estimated secondseasonrecovered somewhat,but Americansincreasinglypooris abig trend,but the speed issue(such asaD oraDslow).
The second quarter of 2007Americans have$13.8fortunewill be thepeak.Last week theten year bondinterest ratesrose to4 per centabove,alsorose to 1.41 per centfor the biennium.
On behalf of the pastfive monthsten year bondinterest ratesof 2 per cent,situation is veryworrying.2008/ 09the annual deficitwill reach12% GDP,the United States of Americain face ofmonetary policy and fiscalexpenditureof contradiction between;such aslarge amounts of debtpaymentdeficit,Marchwilloffset thequantitative easing monetary policybenefits,decree of March 9thbegan to rise in thestock marketinthe end.
As often olderdebtinterest ratelong-termmaintained at 4per centabove(i.e.,relatively the beginning of the yearup 100%),fear ofAmericancommercialbuildingsbearhugepressure.
Many in Californiacommercial buildingvacancyrate has reached 15%,a rise in interest ratesunder pressure,thatthe United Statescommercialproperty pricesinto thebigadjustment period.
In 1978 the Chinese government toimplementthe policy of reform and opening up;andcomputerscience and technology popularizationand the communication costto drop,causefurther economicglobalization;Chinacost andthecheap oil;coming from all over the worldcheap resources,causedthe United Statesfrom 1982 to 2007the stock marketriseperiod.
But by last year,no matterChinese laborers,Russia oilandfrom around the worldareno longer cheapresources,makeglobaleconomy entersdecline tide.Last year recessionshouldnot inthe United Statesrecession,deficitof up to GDP13% environment,wherenormalrecession?In therecessionofthe big bounce,andoftenamazing.
Goodhard to believethere is a dollarrallydeflationis it right??Germany hasto PIGS(Portugal,Ireland,Greece and Spain)pressure,asking them tokeepthe eurosetcode!It seemsthe euro exchange rateincreases.
Asthe dollarrebound,global investmentsituation ofchange quickly,butBenach wasonthirtyAmericaneconomicexpertise,heevadednoroddormethod.Most investorsin theinflationperiodto grow,especially in 1971the U.
S. dollar from thegold standardafterthethirty-six years;theybelieve thatdeflation hasappeared,like the1970 ICaoin Ming Paonewspaperwrotethat thatHong Kong peoplebelieve that inflationis comingsodifficult.
This year,many peoplestillpredict malignantinflationback(hyperinflation),anddo not believe that thebasematerialbucketpoorinthe last year,even the Financial Times also readyforinflationwords(for theinflationsready),forget thegreat wealthin early last yearhasdisappeared;forget theAmericanbanks began torepairbalance sheet;the Americans beganto reduce consumptionandincrease savings,the savingsrate has risen to 5.
7%last week tofourteenyear high.At presentthe United Statescompany cost70%of salary,therising unemployment rate,salaryand howbig?The United Statesisthe futureinflation rate(CPI)increasesare limited,the sources of energy and raw materialpricesalthoughsince January this year,pick up,but forthe United StatesCPIinfluenceonChinaLimited,may beaD.
In June 3rdtheseeafter 18967,the stock market intoplay table tennisperiod.Due to the weeklyfrom five totendata,thestock marketrising andfallingtrend.According to a Reuterssurvey ofanalystson the S & PFive hundred,second quarternet profitestimationtonegative 35.
7%(last week ofminus 36.1%),is the main cause ofindexexcludingGMandCitibankthird quarternet profitisnegative;estimate21.9%(April 1st22.4%estimate isnegative) montres ed hardy,is aDimprovement.
In 1929Novemberthe Dowalso hadincreased from 198.07 to294.07 April1930,in a short span of thirteenweeksup to 48.2%.The Dowin March 6th this yeartoJune 11ththirteen weeksalsorise,rise 37.
2%,thereare similar?As for the Hang Seng Index,from March 9th11344up to June 12th19161,thirteen weeksup to 68.9%.Shortly after the1930Maywouldlikestocksthathas dropped to1932?Nikkei stock averagesince thepeak in 1990,in the past twenty yearstenbig bounce table .
The smallest increases30.3%,62.9%risetimemaximum increases;at leasttwenty-twotrading days,the longestin more thanseven hundred and nine trading days(two years),more than four timesgreater than 50%reboundis;eachinvestoristhat Japanboomagain,butstilldownchargefield.
In 2007November,U.S.stockswill besimilar chemises burberry pas cher?Since 2007November,the United Statesfinancial markets intosystolic.Afterthe creditdilate periodfrom 1981 to 2007,the beginning of last yearcreditsystole;eitherstock orpropertyappearsincase,asin 1990,Japanwhendeclinetoo slow orgovernment intervention,the stock marketappeareda technical rebound,reboundagainfallaftercompletion.
History ofwordsgives us knowledge,experiencedin 2007November toOctober last yeardropCity,appeared six monthsor longerrebound periodis not surprising.BuyandHoldovermarket usually hasthree kinds ofcapital:acapital,eye-catchingtrend following;two,capitalmarketandfoolish;three,large amounts of money toswim.
Sillymoneynot onlythe latesttoattend the party,butisinlast season ;successnever ends,butfailed,becausewhen an investmentis successful,another investmentandwaiting for youto challenge;conversely,after the failure ofaninvestment,you have nocostto playanother time.
Thisiswhysocialsuccess,lessfailurereason.RobertShiller,the United States of Americapricesfrom 2006the highest pricehasdropped 32%,the futureis stillbearish.The price of gasolinein forty-one daysto rise61%to $2.
62 a gallon,consumers in the United Stateshave begun toresistthis price.2007Novemberto October last yearfell,crushing theBuyandHold belief.Investorsunderstand that,only in thehigh economic growthperiod,for example 1967to 1997the Hong Kong Housing,cando BuyandHold;from the 1997 thirdquarterstarted to invest inthe Hong Kong Housinghas become BuyandHope.
As for theinvestmentof HSBC(005)in 2007October,there are still many peoplesuperstitiousHSBCis a long-termBuyandHold.In March 9th this year,whenHSBCfell to 30 yuan,investors areangry!They canfrom 1981 to 2007 inthe United States of Americastocks risereason isbecauseinterest ratesfall,economic globalization andfinancialleverage.
Thethree big trendshave beenchanging,havingonlyBobear market rally.Because of the financialindustry has already enteredthe deleveraging;economy has been moving towardantiglobalization.
Since December last year,bond marketisdown 19.65%,the largest decline since 1977,worry about bondsalsobear;when bond marketsinitiallydropped20%,the stock marketusually rises;once thefall ofmore than 20%,theycan outlast thestock market.
In the bull market inyoumakemoney;youmakeafortunein a bear market!You havereadlast Novemberto January of this year rallythis year,as well as3 day9 torebound in June 12th,as long as the Keepyourpowderdry,are not afraid of nochance!History ofwords tous,neverbe in smooth watertide.
2008/09(September)the United Statesdeficitis estimated to reach$1.85,close tothe United StatesGDP 10%.In the futurefive years,things don,the futureAmericanGDP each year5% to6%will be used topay the interest,unlessthe Americans changingconsumption habits,back to thesixty,seventyconsumption level.
Itcan be triggered byglobaleconomicreturnfailure(the so-calledfinancial tsunamiwave second).The Chinese government has recentlychangedwithshort debtdollarinterest rates,large tilt(i.
e abercrombie fitch coats.long debtinterest ratehigher thanmanyshortinterest rate bonds),suspectin November last yearto June this yearthestock marketrise ineight monthsis it right?The typhooneye(inthe United Statesthis year from March toJune,only fourmonths).
From ARMResetsituation(adjustable rate mortgagedebt,commonly known as ARM),alarge amount of ARMmaturity is2007 year,second largedue date is2010May,whenlarge amounts of ARMinterest rate to beadjusted.
In March of this year bygovernment interventionbroughttoashort,cancurethe lending marketold trouble?In June VIXindex is thelowest since Maylast year,representing theoptimistic sentiment of investorsandthenrising,stock markethas entered theoverbought zone,the Dow hasto return to the 200antenna on top of(in a bear market,whenthe Dow back tothe 200antennais on theshortsell signal).
The 2001 incidentafter thegovernmentmad byinterest ratemade bythe United States of Americabuildingbubble,in 20062007August CDOblasting,triggered thecrisis;to 2007September governmentagainmad byinterest rateto makethe bond marketbubble.
January this year,money isleaving thebond market,prices lacoste polo shirts,oil pricesarerisingandprices.WhitneyTilson(TSPartnersCEO)estimates,the global bankingin the futurewill stillfor theallowance for doubtful debts of$1.
3,whichat present each bigbankfails to finish theclean up bad debts.The United Statesgovernmentthe next yearfiscalyearstax of 1.9billions of dollars,spending$3.6,still need a large number ofbondstomeet expenses.
Markets oftenonprospects forestimation,unfortunately most ofpriorestimates inturned out to bewrong,because one can onlydo afterKong ming.At present,the United Statesis in debtto GDP375%,quicklyinto theeconomic activitiesare not sufficient to cover thedebt interestincome.
This yearthe United Statesgovernmentmustborrow$36000000000per monthtomeet expenses.Money isafirst after the bitter sweetgame,at presentthe United StatesAmericanbanks havenolending(forbankcapital hasshrunk dramatically,notfurtherincrease loans).
FutureAmericaneconomyin the absence ofcreditexpansionsupport,wherethe bull?!BloodyL shapedeconomy from 1980 to1982Americaneconomy had been in ,Hongkong from 1981 to 1984andthe W shapedrecession.
W shapeddepressioncan be divided intolazyWanddynamicW.The United Statesis thelazyW,due in 1982August1980Aprilstock market lowislower;instead,the Hongkongthatisfull of vitalityW shape,due in 1984July,1982Decemberthelowlowlow.
On 1982,the United Stateseconomyalthough recovery,but still belazy;Hongkongsince the second half of 1984Hong Kong stocksappearrose.The United Statesfrom 1980 to 1982W shapedrecessioncausedbycigarahand,he used thehigh interest ratesto combatinflation,to 1982the successful control ofthe inflation rate,the economyboomed again.
Hongkong 1981 to84 yearstheW shapedue tothe resumption of sovereigntyto cause fear,also because thesovereigntyproblem solving,to1984Julyrecovery.Thisdecline iscausedbythe financial crisis,withJapan in 1990thatis,fearof LondonsaidBloodyLform economy,namelyeconomy is entered long-termlow growth.
Bloodydouble-dipLisworse,because of the financialcrisishas changedthe rules of the game,makeuncertainlong-term.The new rule isyou winIlose,again notlongearned.But so far only afew peoplebelieve thatthe rules of the game have beenchanged.
Dongoldenageofwealthcreationto was entered 2007ending ofthe majority of people.The stock market hasbecomefrom manyfragments(fragment);the futurewillwin or losebyentering the market andwhenaway from the cityto decide,nothold out for long.
Why am Iold Caorepeatedlythink this isbear marketreboundtwoperiodrather thana bull market?One,the whole financial systemlack of liquidity,the reason isto leverage;two,the enterprise onlypatternthinprofit,so thatenterprises lack ofdesire to invest;three,the globaltrade volumeisthe first quarter of this yeardeclinednot rising,on behalf ofthestock marketis basedon businessis weak,not fromgambling rather than a reflection ofeconomy inthe mend.
Every rebound,ultimately tocats and dogsshareupto end,thisis no exception.Becausemost peoplestillmiss 2007October before thegood day,thisbear market istwoperiod to risepower;theydoncapitulation theory(the bear a selling climaxcaused).
June 22nd afternoonfrom all over the worldgoldexperts will beneatongold.Todaya bottle of ChateauDYquem pricealready amounted to 120000 yuan,andoften out of stock,butfew arewilling to give500 yuan of be aptto listen to agoodinvestment advice.
Thisiswhyso many peopleinthe Royal Bank of Scotlandon89%orcorrosioninLes TSBbank onCorrosionfor 77%reasons.Investorswhenlearninga goodinvestment advicegoldtruthvalue!Investorsanothermissedis oftensuffer frominvestmentamnesia,forgetthe mistakes of the past,look onlyon today,tomorrowor the day afterthe bigcity situation,rather than along-term perspective.
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In 1,I wait for you...But now Ievenhave no such qualifications,sorry,excuse methe 2 lifeis like a dance,your first steps of the church whomay not be able to accompany youcome to finish......3of the worldtired thing,than watchedhis heart is broken,have tostick it up yourself......4 I reallylikeyou,shut my eyes,thinking that I could forget,but shed tears,but not lie to yourself.
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....Daystillpretending to bea strong all thedreamsin order label; goodfear of regretof theunfinished...Find visiblealwaysonly you9 you mayalreadyaccustomed to.
Heart acheswhen,canignore.Imperceptiblyin tears,can alsobe accustomed to.Force a smileorhysteria arestupidif 10,she is in front of youlaugh,do not represent allgood...If,shecried in front of you,sheisreally sad.
..If,yougenerous enough,tocomfort her,shewas grateful toyou,deeply....1112I dreamed ofyou,crying. .........Wake uptorealitythan dreammorepainful......
So,crymorefierce. ..............................13 I would like to...Letme thoseand youth,andwarmthememoriesis your shadow......14 love someone,you will rememberand hislife together;love a person,you will rememberandhe leftafter15 days ofhope that one day,Ican bealone,sick,saddonmiss you so much.
..Well,goodbye~Ilove you so much so much,thoughclumsybutalsotodo a lot,so__I donregret...Now,I loveyou back,you left meonlya little proudtome...?The year of 16, theybecome each other ofa shefinishedhis freedom,he betrayedherworship.
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Donlet mejustlaughed and laughed. you should notletall myheartalwaysineffable sweetness,fullis intractable. you do not want,I feel thatdo not belong to me I thoughthappiness,let megreedylike you.
chemises burberry pas cher.. Liangqianyilingyears,a nightof 18If the loss ofmemory is it right?Life would beeasy.... ifnot forget whetherto let the memoriesjustmovevaguely.
... Icanbe generous enoughto lay downall let yourselfgo to the battle-front without any burden but this kind ofpretendtend tolast less thanone day herphotographsanddelete,deleteandstorage.
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